Saturday 20 February 2016

Future of Schengen


We “had” a dream… It was a Europe without borders. Has it already gone? Maybe, at least practically. Only the border guards are missing, wherefore there are already other kinds of physical barriers, such as the Hungarian one. Of course a single currency would remain, regardless. But a United Europe is represented only by freedom of movement, not anything else. In principle the dissolution of the Schengen Agreement alone wouldn’t mark the end of EU. Only in principle: as a matter of fact some politicians are already arguing about what could really remain without it, because the direct result would be an enormous increase in costs and reduced productivity, due to the re-erection of national barriers.

Let’s go a little bit further: a truly United Europe never existed. The concept of its founders of an “ever closer union” was never accepted by Eastern Countries. Signed up, but NOT accepted, merely to benefit of the enormous financial aids received back then. And let’s include UK-“Brexit” as well. The refugee crisis is just showing this sad reality to everybody, crystal clear! National interests are emerging. In some cases even regional interests (Catalonia). Fiscal, harsh rules are not accepted anymore, especially by the more vulnerable Countries like Greece. Politicians are realizing that defending EU policy is more and more counter-productive, and adjusting consequently. Nobody wants to lose an election, although the majority of people is in favour of solidarity (but heavily conditioned by politics), particularly in richer countries. In my view refugees will never be re-allocated throughout the EU: we’re sleepwalking, happily so, while blaming each others’. Decisions must be taken by politicians, not by the people. If a wider EU response is failing, Schengen itself is failing.    

Why are there so many politicians talking about Schengen? Because, one way or another, they’re all in search of an easy electoral victory. If you prefer: give “some” people what they want. Moreover: the hallmark of populism is anger, easily applicable to nowadays events. It can be about culture, economics, wars, religions, with such an abundance of issues (real or fictional). In this case might be, or actually absolutely IS, about refugees. It makes noise, gets attention and therefore votes or in absence of elections, popularity.

Does it also make you win? (Just) apparently yes, wherefore we all have hopes and fears, appealing to interests and conceptions pushing against the prevailing status quo. But it has a volatile nature and can be counterproductive as promises simple answers to complex problems. We should all aim to an “ever closer European Union” instead. Populism flourishes in front of presumed imminent ruin at the hands of opportunistic harbingers of malefactors (refugees, racists, Muslims & Jews, polluters…throw in everything & everyone).

But its fundamentals are lacking. It might exist within the realm ranging from easily persuadable people to people accepting even demagogic extremes, deriving from ignorant demagogues (even in another Continent). The notion of truly solving problems is a completely different matter than counting on sheer force of personality, often without contents, fouling the political arena.

Populism is the ultimate improbable beneficiary of a deeply disenchanted public, lasting only if such public is continually reassured the battle of good against evil will never end. Someone hoping to be the future President of The United States perfectly understands all this very, very well.

But the majority of people wants the battle to finish, sooner or later. Because 2 or 3 million refugees over 500 million European people is NOT a real problem, nor difficult to be handled. It’s just a very powerful weapon in the hands of our politicians: it’s only because of them if Schengen will fail. The difficult way out (at least there would be a solution) would be TOTALLY embracing the concept of an “ever closer union”: that’s it.

….Always humble
Angiolino



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