Wednesday 20 January 2016

Renewables


We all know what they are. But how often do we use this kind of energy? Let me wrap up, and then get to the point. A lot, although not enough: it contributed almost half of the world’s new power generation capacity in 2014. Low oil prices are helping, allowing countries to move ahead with their phase-out of fossil fuel subsidies, so to put the energy system on to a more secure and sustainable path. I’d even say to leave a suicidal path. The final aim is bringing the share of non-fossil fuels up from 19 percent of the global mix today to 25% in 2040 (wait a minute: that’s 25 years from now!). China has more renewable power generation than any other Country, but its total energy demand in 2040 will be double that of America. India is entering a sustained period of rapid growth in energy consumption, pledging to have a 40% share of non-fossil fuel in 2030.
It’s obvious to everybody that electricity will gain more ground in many sectors, contributing to a quarter of final energy consumption by 2035.
Oil and gas will gradually become more expensive to extract while the costs of renewables will continue to fall.
Those appear to be the comforting general trends. So, is everything ok? NOT AT ALL. Fossil fuel subsidies were around 490 US billions in 2014!....What?! And only 112 US billions in renewables! Shouldn’t it be the opposite? Obviously it should…
And right now I’m not even going to talk about climate change implications. This data alone let you understand one simple concept: all the above goals could / should be achieved quicker. Much quicker! Ergo, political willingness is lacking: AS ALWAYS. Why? You aren’t stupid. Neither am I: extremely powerful OIL lobbies. But some of you might (just might) be cynical, needing a practical example.
It’s not all that difficult to understand, if you think about it. Should you have a very profitable business, would you abandon it? Motor companies don’t earn on selling vehicles, they earn on spare parts. They won’t be able to do that with electric cars anymore: bye-bye maintenance and…. gasoline! With just € 1,2 you can run more than 100 kilometres. It’s all part of a consolidated business nobody wants to forsake. It’s also the reason why electric cars are so expensive (based on engine complexity, they should cost less, not more). And this is merely a single example. Think about all the rest on your own.
There’s just one “little” detail: can our planet wait for lobby groups’ interests? Can your children wait?! When in 15 years time they’ll ask you why half of the population has some form of cancer due to pollution, what will you answer them? I suggest you to prepare your justification. Right now.
Because renewables ARE the future, the future of your children. Period. Simply because fossil fuels will end and there are no other alternatives. Electric cars are beginning to boom, like in Norway or Netherlands for example. No questions their cities are getting cleaner and cleaner also because there are generous tax incentives in place to buy electric vehicles. The same should happen everywhere else in my view.
I certainly don’t have to remind you the Volkswagen scandal on faked emissions. There’s a risk coming, though. Some “presumed” environmentalists say that electricity used for electric cars is still produced using polluting methods (such as coal). For the time being that’s true, I have to admit, but the only important question is why don’t we switch to cleaner production alternatives then?! There are decision to be taken, we just HAVE to. Example: Seville/Spain is going 100% green, and I’m talking about the whole city (not a small one) itself, not even its cars. Problem solved: they wanted, they did it! All the rest are merely fake issues created by fake environmentalists (paid by who?).
Oh yes: some also argue that coal is very cheap. Well, electricity in Seville will be even cheaper. Netherlands is full of old windmills but not so much of the new ones. What a paradox, they didn’t learn from their own history: the worst mistake mankind can make! Electricity generated from renewable sources is increasing in the Dutch Country, but not enough with overall demand for electricity rising as well.
Luckily electric cars are going to be cheaper soon, while extending their mile / kilometer range. Besides they’ll be more needed to smooth out the surges in the grid caused by the increased use of wind and solar energy (storing that clean energy in their batteries). That’s not all, as efforts to reduce greenhouse-gas production in power plants are moving forward more rapidly that electric-car production on a global scale, at least, with the exception of China (a big consumer of coal) which is also paying a heavy price in terms of pollution.
And this is happening now, as I’m writing. You should consider that the situation will improve year by year, not quickly enough, but nevertheless it will. Besides, each year new technologies are tested. The simple salt will be used for storing heat during the day, to be later used to produce electricity: a big plause to Morocco!
If someone argues that coal is better just because it’s cheaper, from now on you know what to answer: I’ll leave it to you.
….Always humble,
Angiolino

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